53 is quite a ways even from 45, let alone 22. But at least you can cover your ass and say that it was health care reform in general you were talking about in the first place.
According to Gallup,
The high point in public support was 51% in October.
So I guess you might have been close if you were saying this a few months ago...
Wanna take a gander at Rasmussen?
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/current_events/healthcare/september_2009/health_care_reformThe latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 42% favor the plan while 53% are opposed. These figures include just 20% who Strongly Favor the plan and 41% who are Strongly Opposed.
The difference between Gallup and Rasmussen is that Gallup calls everyone, while Rasmussen polls likely voters. Rasmussen has generally gotten it right in every election, while Gallup's not had quite the track record that Rasmussen has displayed.
Or how about the Washington Post?
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/01/18/AR2010011803450.htmlA new Washington Post-ABC News poll found that 44 percent of Americans support the proposed changes in the health-care system being debated in Congress, while 51 percent oppose them. Opposition is more intense than support, with 39 percent saying they strongly oppose the legislation and 22 percent saying they strongly favor it.
Strong support vs strong opposition IMO is the telling point. That's what will hit the politicians in the face--the folks who have strong enough feelings on the matter to voice their opinions.
And a Rasmussen poll released last week shows 55% say Congress needs to start over and do a new bill instead.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/current_events/healthcare/march_2010/55_say_congress_should_start_over_on_health_careBut I think this is the one you're looking for--it lists all of the polls for this week on the subject lined up together. None of them have shown "for" being ahead of "against."
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/obama_and_democrats_health_care_plan-1130.htmlObama and Democrats' Health Care Plan
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample For/Favor Against/Oppose Spread
RCP Average 2/13 - 3/8 -- 41.3 48.9 Against/Oppose +7.6
Associated Press/GfK 3/3 - 3/8 1002 A 41 43 Against/Oppose +2
Rasmussen Reports 3/5 - 3/6 1000 LV 42 53 Against/Oppose +11
Gallup 3/4 - 3/7 1014 A 45 48 Against/Oppose +3
Ipsos/McClatchy 2/26 - 2/28 1076 A 41 47 Against/Oppose +6
USA Today/Gallup 2/23 - 2/23 1009 A 42 49 Against/Oppose +7
POS (R) 2/17 - 2/18 900 RV 40 52 Against/Oppose +12
Newsweek 2/17 - 2/18 1009 A 40 49 Against/Oppose +9
PPP (D) 2/13 - 2/15 743 RV 39 50 Against/Oppose +11
You might want to pay close attention to PPP, which is a Dem poll.
Enjoy.

---Jeff
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Last Edit: March 12, 2010, 10:24:01 PM by Arkansan Raider »
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