Re: Watson or Carr
If this is a fantasy thread about Deshaun Watson being a Raider, I don't mind him being a Raider. I rather have Josh Allen or Russell Wilson because they are more clutch imo. All of them have a the same chance of being a Raider which is zero. I am not buying Derek Carr will get paid more than Watson (cap hit) in five years. No and I mean no team is going to pay Derek Carr more than $40 million a season. I tried to explain it, but some people keep quoting the $40 million number.
Watson is more than a $40 million cap hit in some years if he stays with the Texans.
If Watson leaves the Texans then part of that cap hit stays with the Texans as dead money so it doesn't hit his new team's cap.
Watson's cap hits to the team that trades for him are:
2021 $10.54 million
2022 $35
2023 $37
2024 $32
2025 $32
So the first two seasons average less than $23 million, more than Carr, but not much more in the world of ridiculous QB money.
The following three seasons average just under $34 million and, unless Carr regresses from his 2020 form this season then he's not going to be signing for less than that. I guess we will get a "bargain" extension if he plays poorly but nobody wants that. Dak got offers from the Cowboys higher than that over a year ago, Jared Goff got over $33 million - Carr won't be the highest paid QB in the game again, but he'll get a lot of money, unless he sucks.
This is a good example of why, when trading for any player, it's not the cap hit to his current team that matters because it can be significantly different.
I do agree though, that trading for Watson is a fantasy I just wanted to describe how the cap hit is sometimes misrepresented. It's the trade compensation that would make the deal too costly, not the contract.
Watson is more than a $40 million cap hit in some years if he stays with the Texans.
If Watson leaves the Texans then part of that cap hit stays with the Texans as dead money so it doesn't hit his new team's cap.
Watson's cap hits to the team that trades for him are:
2021 $10.54 million
2022 $35
2023 $37
2024 $32
2025 $32
So the first two seasons average less than $23 million, more than Carr, but not much more in the world of ridiculous QB money.
The following three seasons average just under $34 million and, unless Carr regresses from his 2020 form this season then he's not going to be signing for less than that. I guess we will get a "bargain" extension if he plays poorly but nobody wants that. Dak got offers from the Cowboys higher than that over a year ago, Jared Goff got over $33 million - Carr won't be the highest paid QB in the game again, but he'll get a lot of money, unless he sucks.
This is a good example of why, when trading for any player, it's not the cap hit to his current team that matters because it can be significantly different.
I do agree though, that trading for Watson is a fantasy I just wanted to describe how the cap hit is sometimes misrepresented. It's the trade compensation that would make the deal too costly, not the contract.
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