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Re: Derek Carr - Official Merger Thread

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  16 to 88 » Thu Jan 26, 2023 11:29 pm

https://larrybrownsports.com/wp-content ... ercial.jpg

Come on Colts! Give the Raiders two 1st, a 2nd and a 3rd. All you need is a vet QB that can step in and take you to the distance!
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  The Duke » Fri Jan 27, 2023 4:29 am

I'm hoping the Colts hire Bisaccia and with the Panthers hiring Reich (who previously wanted Carr, per reports), the two get into a bidding war for his services. :rofl:
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  signal » Fri Jan 27, 2023 8:32 am

I think Carr simply gets released. His contract is not anywhere in line with his production. The trade needed to happen last year. Timing matters.

If Z plays his cards right, it will be addition by subtraction.
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  Attyla » Fri Jan 27, 2023 8:37 am

signal wrote Fri Jan 27, 2023 8:32 am:I think Carr simply gets released. His contract is not anywhere in line with his production. The trade needed to happen last year. Timing matters.

If Z plays his cards right, it will be addition by subtraction.
since Carr needs to waive his no trade, I think there is a possibility that he could get traded and then they redo a deal? chucker might have a better handle on that then me.
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  Xramfan » Fri Jan 27, 2023 8:40 am

signal wrote Fri Jan 27, 2023 8:32 am:I think Carr simply gets released. His contract is not anywhere in line with his production. The trade needed to happen last year. Timing matters.

If Z plays his cards right, it will be addition by subtraction.
Stock value peaked after the 2016 season but all it takes is the right buyer at the right time

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  Amish Cabal » Fri Jan 27, 2023 8:51 am

16 to 88 wrote Thu Jan 26, 2023 11:29 pm:
Come on Colts! Give the Raiders two 1st, a 2nd and a 3rd. All you need is a vet QB that can step in and take you to the distance!
From the new Oxford dictionary, now with pictures:

Douche /do͞oSH/ noun
https://larrybrownsports.com/wp-content ... ercial.jpg

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  signal » Fri Jan 27, 2023 8:59 am

Xramfan wrote Fri Jan 27, 2023 8:40 am:Stock value peaked after the 2016 season but all it takes is the right buyer at the right time
The only way he gets traded is if there are more than simply one buyer, there needs to be at least two. The only way he gets traded is if there are two teams vying for his services and a team believes that the best chance of getting Carr is to trade outright for him leaving the other team out in the cold.

But I honestly believe given his present contract, that most teams will simply sit back and wait and compete on the open market. Then sign him losing no draft capital and on a contract that is more in line with his production. And if they lose out, so be it, there are other options in the free agency this year.

I for one will not be surprised one bit that after the SB, the Raiders release Carr with a statement that simply indicates that there were no teams seriously interested in trading for Carr and that they have decided to part ways with the player before his salary kicked in.
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  Dark Horse » Fri Jan 27, 2023 9:36 am

Xramfan wrote Fri Jan 27, 2023 8:40 am:Stock value peaked after the 2016 season but all it takes is the right buyer at the right time
There was and even bigger peak IMO after the 2020 season.

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  live.B.A.raida » Fri Jan 27, 2023 9:36 am

Insiders say he’s expected to be traded so I’m hanging my hat on that until it happens or it doesn’t.
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  Attyla » Fri Jan 27, 2023 9:46 am

live.B.A.raida wrote Fri Jan 27, 2023 9:36 am:Insiders say he’s expected to be traded so I’m hanging my hat on that until it happens or it doesn’t.
all indications is there is about 5 teams right now in the mix.

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  HesterLayes » Fri Jan 27, 2023 9:52 am

Attyla wrote Fri Jan 27, 2023 9:46 am:all indications is there is about 5 teams right now in the mix.
I’m not an insider,but I would say Carolina and New Orleans will be the top two suitors..for different reasons

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  raiders93 » Fri Jan 27, 2023 9:55 am

signal wrote Fri Jan 27, 2023 8:59 am:The only way he gets traded is if there are more than simply one buyer, there needs to be at least two. The only way he gets traded is if there are two teams vying for his services and a team believes that the best chance of getting Carr is to trade outright for him leaving the other team out in the cold.

But I honestly believe given his present contract, that most teams will simply sit back and wait and compete on the open market. Then sign him losing no draft capital and on a contract that is more in line with his production. And if they lose out, so be it, there are other options in the free agency this year.

I for one will not be surprised one bit that after the SB, the Raiders release Carr with a statement that simply indicates that there were no teams seriously interested in trading for Carr and that they have decided to part ways with the player before his salary kicked in.
It’s entirely possible you’re right. But I also think there’s maybe an under-estimation of the demand and an over-appreciation of how much teams value draft capital.

If we’re holding out for a war chest - yeah he’s getting cut. But assuming that’s not the case a 2nd round pick isn’t necessarily a steep price to insure you get him. That’s kind of my expectation on a trade - 2nd and maybe a 4th. If there’s a team that’s dead set on getting him I could see it maybe going up to 2 2nds.

The alternatives on the open market are not that great. Assuming Brady’s gonna go where he wants - Jimmy G is by far the next best option to Carr and he’s injured half the time.

Last - his contract. While the cap numbers are higher the guarantees are virtually non-existent beyond next year. If I’m a betting man and Carr hits the open market - the guaranteed money is gonna go up significantly. He’s not interested in being a mercenary - he wants a team to actually commit long term. If the demand is what’s being advertised, it likely takes a true long(er) term deal to get Carr.

Would you rather give up a 2nd to see if Carr is your answer next year… or save a 2nd but be on the hook with him for the next 3?
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  Attyla » Fri Jan 27, 2023 9:56 am

HesterLayes wrote Fri Jan 27, 2023 9:52 am:I’m not an insider,but I would say Carolina and New Orleans will be the top two suitors..for different reasons
Jets are the tops according to the oddsmakers.

but both of your choices are in the mix. Washington, Tennessee round out the top five.

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  Amish Cabal » Fri Jan 27, 2023 9:57 am

HesterLayes wrote Fri Jan 27, 2023 9:52 am:I’m not an insider,but I would say Carolina and New Orleans will be the top two suitors..for different reasons
I agree. Likely the only two Derek would consider. If I had to guess, Carolina. Better o-line. Besides, their name is the "Saints" but there ain't no Saints in Nawlins. :grin:

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  Amish Cabal » Fri Jan 27, 2023 9:59 am

Attyla wrote Fri Jan 27, 2023 9:56 am:Jets are the tops according to the oddsmakers.

but both of your choices are in the mix. Washington, Tennessee round out the top five.
Jets fans are loopy about Rodgers now with the hiring of Hackett. The oddsmakers may be right, but I don't see Derek going there at all. Bad offense, few weapons, and, well... all the meanies in NYC.

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